John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani have both dropped out of the presidential race. While I'm not surprised at Giuliani's departure, given his dismal performance in
I'm also wondering what the ramifications of Giuliani's endorsement of McCain are going to be. While I think it's going to pick up some votes for McCain, I think it's going to concern the ultra-conservatives who have taken issue with Giuliani for his pro-choice views, as well as some of his other more liberal policies. McCain isn't seen as a die-hard conservative anyway, which may be an appeal to independents and moderates, but being endorsed by a Pro-Choice Republican isn't going to go over well with Evangelicals or ultra-right wingers, who don’t want to be ignored, and who shouldn’t be. Last night’s Republican debate is a testament to that as McCain and Romney essentially waged a “Who’s the true conservative?” debate. We haven’t heard a whole lot about the evangelical vote (which makes up a large portion of the “ultra conservative” category) this primary season but I think on Super Tuesday we’re going to see the evangelicals show up in masses. One thing’s for sure: Super Tuesday is going to be awesome and exciting. I can’t wait!
Thursday, January 31, 2008
Two more bite the dust!
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Bringing Home the Youth Vote
Prof. G-P and I are doing some research on this topic. What do you all think about this? Based on your newfound knowledge and the awareness of your friends, do you think more young people will vote this year? Is the Obama excitement working?
Please let us know your thoughts on this topic.
Thanks,
JM
Families Divided
This is not the first family divided over these two candidates. Jesse Jackson and his wife are also split between Obama and Clinton. I know many other couples/families in the same situation. Why is this the case? What resonates about each candidate?
I know that one of Kennedy's reasons for the Obama endorsement was the campaign strategies used by Bill Clinton in S.C. My thought about Bill is that he needs to get out of the way and let Hillary find her voice again. He's too much the attack dog now. He loves campaigning - he was always at his best doing this. This is likely his last big hurrah and if Hillary doesn't win, he'll be taking it very personally.
Anyone watch the State of the Union address last night? Thoughts????
Monday, January 28, 2008
The Scores are Even
Friday, January 18, 2008
South Carolina and Fred Thompson
I can’t wait to see what happens with the South Carolina Republican Primary on Saturday, January 19th. If Fred Thompson wins, the entire Republican field will, in all likelihood, slowly tumble into chaos. With Rudy likely winning
Also, when Super Tuesday rolls around:
Every major Republican candidate’s home state will be voting, of which, each of the candidates are expected to win: Huckabee (
For the rest of Super Tuesday:
Giuliani will do well in
Huckabee, a former pastor of several Southern Baptist churches, would remain competitive in the Bible Belt.
Thompson, would give Huckabee a run for his money by picking up several delegates in the Southern States and the Bible Belt.
Romney would do well in the heavily Mormon state,
McCain, currently the frontrunner by about 10 points, will most likely take the rest of the February 5th states.
If all goes well and Fred Thompson wins South Carolina, there will be no clear nominee and the nomination will come down to the votes of the Superdelegates, making for a most exciting Republican National Convention in September.
I can't wait till Saturday.
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Candidate Quiz
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
My Political Thoughts
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Campaigns and the Media
Monday, January 14, 2008
This trip was the trip of a lifetime. I learned so much and had a blast doing it. It challenged me so much as well. Despite my conservative views, I made it a personal goal to go with an open mind and really hear what the candidates had to say, because, personally, I feel that when you close your mind you become part of the problem, not the solution. And, I have to say, I was certainly surprised by the outcome, particularly when it came to Hillary Clinton. I have to come clean and admit I was 100% anti-Hillary before this trip. I bought into the whole "wicked witch of the east" persona and thought that she would have nothing persuasive to say. Yet, at the end of her speech, I was pleasantly surprised. She was smiling and laughing (something I previously thought she was incapable of doing) and made some strong points about her experience and her willingness to go through any test to lead this country. Other candidates, like Obama, and McCain were like that as well.
I want to go into more detail about each candidate and my experiences with them on the trip at a later date. I just wanted to use this first post, after the New Hampshire primary, to consider the fact that maybe we put too much trust in the media and the experts and not ourselves. All the polls said that Obama had a solid lead, and the experts were predicting a significant win for him. Apparently the voters didn't agree. I think the unpredictability of the primaries is what makes it so much fun (and so nail-biting)! I look forward to continuing watching the primary/voting process happen!
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
What an experience here at the New Hampshire Primary!!!
Voters come from different backgrounds and levels of social class; they have different interests, views, personal and social beliefs, as well as expectations from the future President. These differences were very visible in the audience of the candidates’ rallies that our group witnessed. I must say that I was surprised to find that New Hampshire’s population isn’t at all diverse as it is back home in the DC Metropolitan area. I should travel a little more inside the country. J I would say that 99% of the population is white. Although race was the common denominator among the audiences, I found some clear differences, such as age, family structure, religious orientation, and social class to some extend. For example, I found Giuliani’s audience to be an older crowd of middle upper and high class. McCain’s audience was mainly composed of military veterans and their families, as well as a mixed age crowd of adults. I noticed that although Clinton’s audience was diverse in age and sex, the number of women dominated the crowd. Huckabee’s audience seemed to be composed of lower to middle class families of different ages, as well as religious practicing people. The most diverse in age, gender, race, and family type in my opinion was Obama’s audience; I saw the most minority groups in his rally than I have seen in the entire trip. Romney’s audience was highly composed of well-dressed families, which in their majority had more than one child. IThese differences had me reflect on the accuracy of the polls’ results that we saw in Iowa and that we are soon to see here in New Hampshire. Would these results really predict the future presidential candidate for each party? It is evident that each candidate has to be ready to target the different audiences that populate the various cities they have to campaign. I can’t wait to see the NH results tonight. My prediction is that Obama will win for the Dem party and McCain for the Rep party. Best luck to all candidates and I pray for the President who is going to get the job done.
The Huckabee Peformance
Hillary Clintons rally was an experience in itself. She was a very powerful speaker who was not afraid to voice her opinions and elaborate on her political platform. She, like McCain, took questions from the audience. She was very quick to answer the questions (which Im not convinced were truely answered) but as a political candidate that is not too much of a suprise. Many candidates tend to avoid answering a questions with definate responses because they do not was to offend potential voters. I will say that meeting Bill Clinton, a former president, was definately an exciting experience.
Obamas Rallies were very uneventful ( I know many disagree with this view of mine). Listening to him made me feel like I was listening to a motivational speaker. He is a great public speaker and I was definately impressed with the way he spoke to the audience. It seemed that he said everything that people want to hear but never explained how he was going to accomplish his goals. Having high hopes and setting goals is a great thing but as president, it is important to elaborate and spell out how he is going to reach his goals and not just say 'change' as if it has a definate meaning. I also feel that Obama was the most impersonable candidate I have heard throughout this entire trip. Getting a picture with him was like winning the lottery...nearly impossible. He did not take any questions from the audience ( but as Lisa said, that may be due to the fact that he is the front runner). I will say that he was definately the most popular democratic candidate in New Hampshire ( considering that each of his rallies were overflowing with supporters and many were unable to enter the rallies.)
Continueing on the topic of uneventful...another name- Rudy Giulliani. I sadly was not impressed with him at all. I was definately expecting more from a man who was elected in a Democratic state as a Republican. He stated that he wanted to cut taxes yet increase the military by 10 Army brigades, 300 Naval Ships, etc. but I dont see how this is possible considering the United States in severly in debt by trillions...How can we spend more money without bringing more in?? Please dont get me wrong... I love the military and it will be very hard for anyone to find someone who supports our troops more than I do (as many of my classmates have seen, I am brought to tears when I hear stories of our soldiers and what they are doing for their country) but I am not able to put my faith into a candidate who may only push our country into even more debt.
Edwards...If I was to vote for a democratic candidate, he would have my vote. But this is only because of what I have learned about him before this trip and it is not because of what I have learned about him on this trip. We were only able to see Edwards once so far and unfortunately it was not a question and answer event. We only were able to hear a few motivational words from him. I will say tho that when he says his campaign is grassroots...it really is (Both at Hillary's and Romney's events..."home-made" signs were passed out to the audience...totally staged and fake). I was really impressed with how we were able to view first hand how grassroots his campaign really was....by having supporters at the event calling New Hampshire residents on their cell phone...overall I was really impressed with his campaign...but was not given the opportunity to fully understand his platform first hand.
Romney...wow Romney!!! I would find it truely hard to find someone who was not impressed by Romneys rally. He brought his family to the event which really made him feel like family was very important to him. I just want to throw this fact in...at the rally an 8yr old boy tugged on Romneys jacket and asked "Sir, what can I do to help your campaign" and Romney knelt down to his level responded "son, the best thing you can do for me is do well in school" *how personable is that?!?! After his rally I called my dad and said "I know who I am going to vote for..its Romney!" this is until I was waiting outside the Huckabee rally and I was speaking with a lady who was a resident of Massachusetts (and was a republican) and said that basically the only part of Romney's record that was true was the part about the Olympics....Now Im back to square one..who do I vote for!?!?!
Last night, we saw Huckabee. I know what you are thinking..."Who is Huckabee?" until last night... I didnt know either! But I will say that the name Chuck Norris is a household name so when I found out he would he at Huckabee's rally....all I could say was "IM THERE". Although I was denied early entrance into his rally to goto the bathroom (in the words of his staffer "its not my problem") all was forgiven in my book after attending the event. Of all the candidates, Huckabee was the most personable candidate I have ever met (and I have met just about all of them). Although I was the only one in my van it seemed that enjoyed the event, I stand by my opinion that his rally was the best one I went to. Even though his band 'Mama Kicks' seemed a little out of place at the event...it really made it (for me at least) a homey event. I was dancing in my seat ( ask Patrick and Homa...they were laughing at me) and I was really enjoying myself.
Overall, this trip has been such an experience for me...one that I will never forget!!
Sunday, January 6, 2008
Agents of Change: Edwards & Obama
America is a country of dreams, a place where a little hope goes a long way. No one thought thirteen colonies could become the greatest nation on earth; no one thought a man born in a cabin in Kentucky could re-unite the nation after a civil war. Growing up no one probably thought that the son of a mill worker and the son of a white Kansas woman and a Kenyan man could be candidates in one of the most important presidential election in American history. Looking at both Senators John Edwards and Barack Obama I can find many similarities in the two men and how their views have been shaped. As I’ve listened to them during rallies and the debates and reflected on the previous times I have seen them, I can really relate to them. Their message of hope and making this an America for everyone no matter economic class is something that I really appreciate it. This is a self made country and both Edwards and Obama are self made men. They’ve really inspired me to work towards achieving my goals and pushing ahead no matter what obstacles stand in my way. Obama was raised by his mother and his grandmother, just like me. Both Edwards and Obama went to schools that were expensive for their families, as I am currently doing. They have proven to me what living the American dream is all about and how anything is possible. I think both candidates are very good candidates, they both have messages of change and hope. Some people feel that change is bad; that America will change for the worse but that might not be the case. I am encouraged by both of these candidates and what they can offer to America and to the people like my family who have struggled to give their children a bright future. I feel that Edwards is a better candidate, that he has experience, and that he has the vision and the ability to take on Washington and critics and make this an America for all. Both men have encouraged me to follow my dreams whatever they maybe and not to be intimated by the obstacles that stand in my way. It will be interesting to see where both these men go, if one gets the nomination and the other is the number two man on the ticket it could be very powerful combination. I think that together they could do a great job with America and make this a place for every American and I look forward to the rest of this campaign and how they do in the primary and possibly the general election.
Friday, January 4, 2008
Clintons, Edwards, and Kennedy's--Oh My!
Later in the day we had the great privilage of attending a very small forum with Bobby Kennedy Jr, and his sisters Kathleen and Carrie. We were lucky enough to do some networking at the Hillary rally and got invited to this great event. Each one of the speakers had a different viewpoint for supporting Hillary. Kathleen spoke of her personal relationship with the Clinton family, and how she has seen Hillary in action over the past 27 years and the great care she took in helping others. Carrie has devoted her life to working for human rights and framed her piece in the moving story of a mistakenly tortured nun, and how Hillary was able to help her after hearing her story at a black-tie event. Bobby spoke of environmental reasons and the many damages the current administration has done in that arena. He also shared personal stories of their childhood and was it was like to be glorified for being affiliated with American politics. He quickly followed up with howthe current adminstration has shattered those previous views all across the world in 7 short years. It was truly inspiring listening to a few of what many people consider to be American royalty speak so candidly about politics. We got some great pictures, but more importantly, some pretty large pieces of information to chew on as we hear from the various candidates moving through this exciting (and cold) state.
It has been a wild ride so far with no end in sight for the next few days. We have collected all sorts of literature, t-shirts, buttons, hats, bumper stickers and anything else a candidate is willing to give. But if there is one thing I am sure of, my backpack starting to mirror the way I feel inside--- bursting with Red, White, and Blue!!!
McCain Speech
Thursday, January 3, 2008
Day 2 - Tours and Rally
Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Day 1 in the Granite State
We took a straw poll about candidate preference today -- here's where we currently stand:
There are 8 people on the trip who favor Republican candidates, 11 who plan to vote as for a Democrat. Top votes go to Guiliani, McCann, and Ron Paul on the Republican side. On the Democratic side, the favorites are Obama, Clinton and Edwards. We plan to do another poll at the end of this week to see how attitudes have changed (or not).
Tomorrow we head out to various headquarters and also hope to visit Bill Gardner, the Secretary of State who determines the NH primary date. Tomorrow night, we hope to see Romney and then Obama on Friday. Much more to come!
It's cold here - lots of snow on the ground and flying everywhere - the coldest weather some students have ever been in. Call us crazy, but it's all pretty exciting.