South Carolina and Fred Thompson

I can’t wait to see what happens with the South Carolina Republican Primary on Saturday, January 19^th. If Fred Thompson wins, the entire Republican field will, in all likelihood, slowly tumble into chaos. With Rudy likely winning Florida, each of the 5 major Republican candidates will have won a race, resulting in no clear frontrunner: Huckabee (Iowa), McCain (New Hampshire), Romney (Michigan), Thompson (South Carolina) and Giuliani (Florida).

Also, when Super Tuesday rolls around:

Every major Republican candidate’s home state will be voting, of which, each of the candidates are expected to win: Huckabee (Arkansas), McCain (Arizona), Romney (Massachusetts), Thompson (Tennessee), and Giuliani (New York).

For the rest of Super Tuesday:

Giuliani will do well in California because of a closed Republican primary. Due to the nature of the closed primary, independents will be unable to vote for McCain, the independent favorite. This would lead the independents to most likely flock to Barack Obama in the open Democratic Primary. Giuliani will probably also win New Jersey because of name recognition.

Huckabee, a former pastor of several Southern Baptist churches, would remain competitive in the Bible Belt.

Thompson, would give Huckabee a run for his money by picking up several delegates in the Southern States and the Bible Belt.

Romney would do well in the heavily Mormon state, Utah. He would also remain competitive in Connecticut, mainly due to name recognition from neighboring Massachusetts.

McCain, currently the frontrunner by about 10 points, will most likely take the rest of the February 5^th states.

If all goes well and Fred Thompson wins South Carolina, there will be no clear nominee and the nomination will come down to the votes of the Superdelegates, making for a most exciting Republican National Convention in September.

I can't wait till Saturday.